Hi Regional Focus "Middle East - Egypt Report":

Hi Regional Focus "Middle East - Egypt Report":

* Egypt GHG emissions, reduction strategy: 

*Content:


▪ Overall country perspective
▪ Industry overview
▪ Deep dive on selected sectors


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*Executive Summary:

Approach:

Emission baseline and abatement potential have been estimated on a macro sector basis (with a focus on 5 key sectors Power, Building, Cement, Road transport, Agriculture).

▪ Data has been collected from available public sources (local and international), syndicated by interviews with local experts and using values from comparable countries.

▪ Greenhouse Gas (GHG) abatement analysis has been developed with the objective of providing an 

integrated perspective on emissions reductions and cost. It cannot be used to forecast exact CO2 prices/ CO2 regulation or forecast individual technologies. 

Overall Business as Usual (BAU):

Emissions in 2005 are in the range of 220 Mt CO2 e and are expected to grow up to ~550 Mt CO2 e by 2030 contributing to ~0.9% of world emissions.

▪ In 2005 emissions per capita versus GDP per capita in Egypt are in line with other developing regions 

(such as India, Latin America and  Middle East), and throughout 2030 are expected to follow a typical 

growth pattern of a developing country.

▪ The 5 main sectors (Power, Building, Cement, Road transport, Agriculture) account for ∼75% of total emissions in 2005  and are expected to slightly increase their relative importance by 2030 (∼77% of total emissions). 

▪ Overall industry related emissions account for ∼29% of the total emissions in 2005 and are expected to increase their relative share to ∼36% by 2030.

Potential abatement:


Overall abatement potential is in the range of ∼200 Mt CO2e, equivalent to ∼36% of BAU at 2030.
▪ The overall potential is slightly lower than comparable developing regions mainly due to lower potential from the power sector (absence of coal plants, in BAU most of the total power production is already generated by relatively low gas plants).
▪ Total abatement potential of ~200 MtCO2e is fragmented into multiple levers and can be partially
implemented with economic benefits.
▪ Most of the abatement potential comes from the 5 key sectors  (Power, Transport, Cement, Building,
Agriculture) which account for ~80% of the total abatement.

*A specific methodological approach has been followed..